Gilbert

Joshua Baer Gilbert

PhD Candidate in Education Policy and Program Evaluation, Harvard University
Chapter Member: Boston SSN
Areas of Expertise:

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About Joshua

Gilbert's research interests include the intersection of causal inference and psychometric methods. He has over twenty peer-reviewed publications in journals such as Developmental Psychology, Journal of Educational Psychology, Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, Behavior Research Methods, and Psychological Methods. In 2025, he was awarded a prestigious 2025 Spencer / NAEd dissertation fellowship.

Contributions

In the News

Quoted by Holly Korbey in "Public Notice #4," The Bell Ringer, March 18, 2026.
Quoted by Jessica Grose in "Most Teachers Know They're Playing with Fire When They Use Tech in the Classroom," The New York Times, April 17, 2024.
Quoted by Laura Oleniacz in "In-Person Learning Helped Narrow Reading Gaps During Pandemic," Science Daily, November 17, 2022.

Publications

"Item-Level Heterogeneity in Value Added Models: Implications for Reliability, Cross-Study Comparability, and Effect Sizes" (with Zachary Himmelsbach, Benjamin W. Domingue, Luke W. Miratrix, Andrew D. Ho, and Benjamin W. Domingue). Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics (2025).

Examines how teacher and school “value-added” ratings—measures based on student test scores—can change depending on which test questions are included on an exam. Finds that these ratings are often less reliable and less stable than they appear, suggesting that schools and teachers may be judged too confidently based on tests that capture only part of what students know.

"How Measurement Affects Causal Inference: Attenuation Bias is (Usually) More Important than Outcome Scoring Weights" Methodology 21, no. 2 (2025): 91-122.

Examines how researchers’ choices about measuring outcomes—such as how they score surveys or tests—can affect conclusions about whether a policy or treatment worked. Finds that simple measurement error usually matters more than the specific scoring method, meaning weak or noisy measures can make real effects look smaller or disappear altogether.

"Estimating Heterogeneous Treatment Effects with Item-Level Outcome Data: Insights from Item Response Theory" (with Zachary Himmelsbach, James Soland, Mridul Joshi, and Benjamin W. Domingue). Journal of Policy Analysis and Management 44, no. 4 (2025): 1417-1449.

Explores a new statistical method for figuring out which students or groups benefit most from a policy or educational program by analyzing responses to individual test questions instead of only overall scores. Argues that looking at item-level data can reveal more detailed and accurate patterns of who is helped—or not helped—by an intervention, which could improve how policies and programs are evaluated.